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BOE Boasts

10/18/2021

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BOE Boasts
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​The Chinese trade press has been extolling the virtues of BOE’s (200725.CH) tacit acceptance into the Apple supply chain and the company’s dominance of the LCD panel space, as it has in the past, and while BOE does get closer to becoming a major supplier to Apple, the gist of some of the ‘glorious’ press is that BOE has also broken into the Samsung Electronics supply chain and is poised to ‘dominate the industry’ as it seeks to replace South Korean (and other) OLED panel producers that have been suppliers to Samsung in the past, particularly affiliate Samsung Display (pvt).
Various statements as to BOE supplying displays for the Samsung Galaxy M series, a low-end smartphone sold in the Mid-east and Asia carries some truth as far as our checks go, but as to whether they are the exclusive supplier (not likely), eliminating  Samsung Display as a supplier from this line, we cannot confirm.  Stories about BOE becoming a potential supplier to Samsung’s “A series” line, among the most popular of Samsung’s phones in terms of units, are also unconfirmed, but we expect much of the talk about BOE’s potential for supplanting Samsung’s typical OLED display suppliers, Samsung Display and LG Display (LPL), is likely coming from the potential approval of BOE into Apple’s iPhone supplier list, which is expected to receive final approval next month.
BOE has been supplying some displays to the iPhone supply chain, but has yet to become a primary supplier, although we do expect that to happen in 2022.  That said, the question remains as to what percentage of the display demand from the iPhone 13 and future series BOE will garner, something we have spoken about a number of times in the past.  Apple not only has display specs that are demanding, both from a technical standpoint and a capacity standpoint, but is very wary of jumping into new technology unless they are fully satisfied that suppliers can meet consistent quality standards.  This tends to categorize suppliers, even existing ones, as to what model’s displays they will produce, sometimes limiting a model to only one supplier if the capacity or quality is still a question.  BOE will have to prove to Apple that it can meet the same specs and volumes that both Samsung Display and LG Display produce in order to become a volume supplier in the same vein as the others, a task that will likely take a number of years.
As to BOE supplying OLED displays to Samsung Electronics, we see that as a somewhat different animal, given that Samsung Electronics has a vested interest in Samsung Display.  That does not mean, at least over the last few years, that Samsung would not use other display producers, and certainly has in the LCD space where a number of LCD suppliers, including BOE, have replaced Samsung Display in the large panel space, where SDC has reduced its production to almost nil.  Where the questions arise however is in the OLED space, where SDC is the leading supplier of flexible and rigid OLED displays for smartphones, and Samsung is their primary customer. 
Samsung Electronics does have to compete with other smartphone brands, especially Chinese brands, well known for producing smartphones that rival feature sets on flagship phones from Samsung.  This competition continues to push Samsung Electronics to find ways to cut costs, especially on low and mid-priced phones, where they face the most competition from Chinese brands.  Given that the display is the most costly single component of most smartphones, logic holds that reducing the cost of OLED displays is the focus of Samsung’s attention and while they are the parent of SDC, SDC is not usually the lowest cost producer.
This is both a function of production costs in Korea vs. those in China, and the fact that most Chinese panel producers are supported financially by the Chinese government through capital project and operating subsidies.  SDC also has the burden of maintaining profitability, especially in the OLED space given it waning LCD capacity, which is not the case for Chinese OLED producers, who have yet to turn profitable in the OLED display space on a yearly basis.  This leaves parent Samsung Electronics to push SDC for lower OLED panel prices, and what better incentive than to give some of its business to Chinese competitors, to make sure SDC understands that it must remain competitive with other OLED panel suppliers.
 We don’t doubt that Samsung Electronics will continue to use Chinese OLED display producers as leverage, encouraging them to continue to develop new products, and would increase usage of same if SDC does not respond in terms of price.  But in the long run, if Samsung Electronics is still going to maintain a smartphone business that is based on premium products, be they the traditional Galaxy S line or new foldables, they will be using SDC in as many instances as possible, and while Chinese OLED producers will make inroads, they will have a far more difficult time replacing SDC with Samsung than they might with Apple, where the brand has no vested interest.  JOHO.
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