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Is Samsung Display Getting Its QD/OLED Act Together?

6/23/2021

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Is Samsung Display Getting Its QD/OLED Act Together?
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​Samsung Display (pvt) made a momentous decision in March of last year.  The company decided to end production of LCD large panel displays by the end of 2020.  This was at a time when LCD large panel prices had declined 27.4% in the previous year, and while there was a slight bounce in large panel pricing early in 2020, SDC was facing continued pressure from Chinese panel producers who were able to provide lower priced panels using government subsidies and had a goal of becoming the global leader in LCD large panel production regardless of the cost.  With COVID-19 also entering the decision process, SDC began its program of closing large panel LCD fabs in Korea, selling it large panel LCD fab in China, and converting some of that LCD capacity to small panel OLED, where the company dominates the industry.
This decision also put Samsung Display in the position of having less of an impact on parent Samsung Electronics, who was forced to source from other panel producers.  At the time of the announcement this change had a positive spin for Samsung Electronics in that it was a buyer’s market for large panels and Samsung would not be burdened by SDC’s losses in the large panel business if panel prices declined further.  Samsung Display however realized that it needed a large panel product to maintain its relationships with both its parent and other large panel customers and began a track toward the commercialization of a new technology that combined OLED and quantum dots.
The technology was based on a layer of blue OLED emitter material essentially covered with a color filter made of red and green quantum dots.  This was not the same as the color filter used by the WOLED process championed by LG Display, which combines green/yellow and blue OLED emitters, forming a white light and then uses a color filter to remove 2 of the three colors from each sub-pixel with phosphors.  In the original SDC QD/OLED model the two OLED emitters were replaced by a single blue OLED emitter and the color filter phosphors were replaced by quantum dots that shifted the blue light to red and green rather than filter out much of the light which should lead to a brighter display.
Unfortunately the only blue OLED emitter commercially available is a fluorescent material, rather than a phosphorescent one, with fluorescent materials producing far less light than phosphorescents.  As the goal of the SDC project was to develop a brighter display, using a fluorescent blue emitter did not produce the desired results and SDC has been evaluating an alternative known as nanorods.  Nanorods are small structures that are ‘grown’ using the same materials used for LEDs, and as the direction of the growth can be controlled, these structures are grown as rods, which are bunched together to form a light source, in this case a blue one.  Using the same quantum dot color converters, an RGB pixel can be created by converting the blue light to red and green and allowing some of the blue to show through in each pixel.  While that sounds relatively simple, getting the nanorods, which are less than 1um wide to stand up next to each other is a bit like herding cats, they tend to go in every direction, so Samsung is using a process called dielectrophoresis, similar to the process used to separate platelets from whole blood, which aligns the rods by using an electric field.  The process lines up the rods vertically, which represents a major step toward the commercialization of the process.
Picture
Basic Samsung Nanorod Structure - Source: Samsung
​But there is still one step necessary before SDC is able to produce a true quantum dot nanorod display and that is to regulate the number of nanorods in each pixel.  Since each nanorod is an emitter, if one pixel has more rods than another, the one with the larger number will be brighter and uniformity across the display will suffer.  As this is among the most critical of metrics and a big factor in yield and therefore viability as a commercial product, it is of critical importance, and as the nanorods are deposited on the substrate in an ink, controlling their numbers is quite difficult.  That said Samsung has developed a method to control nanorod pixel density and to further insure that the display is uniform, they have also developed an algorithm that can adjust a pixel’s luminosity to the norm even if it has too many nanorods.
Does this mean Samsung Display is ready to produce QD/NANO displays?  Almost, according to UBI Research, who has analyzed 160 Samsung Display patents relating to QNED.  They have come to the conclusion that SDC just needs to refine those processes and make sure such devices can be considered for mass production at a profitable price point.  As we have noted previously, SDC has been delivering samples of the technology to its parent and potential customers, so it seems they have progressed considerably from where they were toward the end of last year, but their goal of delivering a display product using QD/OLED or QD/Nano by the end of the year is still iffy.  That said, it seems they are getting close.
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QD/OLED Update

6/4/2021

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QD/OLED Update
​

​Samsung Display (pvt), the display production arm of Samsung Electronics, undertook a major step in 2019 when it decided to end production of large LCD panels.  The decision was predicated on the price of large panels, which had been falling precipitously, and competition from Chinese LCD producers, who were both gaining production expertise and were undercutting SDC’s panel pricing in order to capture market share, which was enabled by government subsidies.  While some of those plans were implemented, with both the sale of the company’s Suzhou, China fab to TCL (000100.CH) through its Chinastar (pvt) subsidiary, and as we have noted, has converted some of its former LCD large panel capacity to OLED, with only one Gen 8.5 fab still producing panels in Korea.
SDC is the leader in small panel OLED production but without a large panel LCD product, the company had no way to capitalize on the popularity of large panel TVs, so it embarked on a project to develop a new technology that is based on a combination of both OLED and quantum dots, a technology that parent Samsung Electronics has championed for years.  The path toward developing a new display technology has not been an easy one, and as SDC closes more LCD capacity and converts to OLED, the pressure to be successful in developing a new large panel TV oriented display technology has increased and parent Samsung Electronics has not always been in complete support of the project.
That said, Samsung LSI, the foundry arm of Samsung Electronics, is said to have begun to produce timing controllers designed specifically for QD/OLED displays, which will give SDC TCON engineering samples that can be used to produce prototypes of actual QD/OLED TVs and monitors.  The TCON samples are for 4K and 8K TVs and a QD/OLED monitor product, which SDC is planning to send to potential customers this month.  SDC had previously sent QD/OLED samples to potential customers, but they were raw panels which were to be evaluated for quality and were not meant to be tested as complete modules.  If these module samples are approved, the TCONs will be modified to remove any issues that were discovered during customer testing and final production TCONs would be delivered to SDC, who can then begin to build out mass production.
Of course, there are a lot of hurdles that must be met, both from an engineering standpoint and from a customer perspective as potential customers parent Samsung Electronics and Sony (SNE) have to give final approval, which is not only hinged on the quality of the device, but also SDC’s ability to produce them in quantity and at a reasonable price.   SDC’s QD/OLED line has a potential capacity for 30,000 sheets/month but yield will be the determining factor.  Such a new process will likely begin with very low yields, which will generate a high product cost.  SDC has the option to absorb much of the high cost and price the units at a point at which they become attractive to customers, but that also generates significant operating losses.  SDC must make a decision as to whether to begin full production based on their expectations for improving yields, which for a new process technology is very hard to predict, and that decision is predicated on whether potential customers are willing to purchase the new displays altogether.
While SDC is part of Samsung Electronics overall, Samsung’s TV division makes its own decisions and has the option of passing on the entire QD/OLED project, so while the fact that Samsung LSI is willing to use some of its capacity to develop and produce timing controllers specifically designed for the QD/OLED project is a positive, it does not ensure that the project will be a success, something that will not likely be decided until the end of this year.  Sony is certainly a viable customer but also faces the same pricing issues that the Samsung TV division faces.  That said, if SDC gets the final OK from its parent, at full capacity, it could produce just over 1m 65” TV panels/year at 100% yield, which would obviously not be the case.  An optimistic projection would be closer to 570,000 units in the first year of production, using only 65” panels.  A mix including smaller monitor panels would increase that number and a mix including larger (70”+), would lower the unit count.
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