Magnachip in Play, More
As the process node for producing OLED drivers is 28nm, the technology is not considered of major importance to national security in South Korea where it has much of its manufacturing, and last month the South Korean Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy gave it tacit approval to the transaction, knowing that Huawei (pvt) and others were already developing OLED driver technology on the Mainland. While we had suggested that getting such a deal through regulatory authorities in both the US (MX is a Delaware corporation) and Korea, the path toward a conclusion seemed to be opening.
As always in the CE space, thing are not always what they seem and yesterday the South Korean press indicated that the Korean government had changed it view on Magnachip’s technology, and that it had been designated as ‘core technology of South Korea’, which would seem to have ended the deal. It seems that the reason for the change in attitude toward the transaction in Korea was the result of an investigation by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the US (CFIUS), which likely resulted in a negative view from the US Treasury Department, then relayed to Korea. As the US is particularly sensitive toward doing anything that might help China in their bid to develop their own semiconductor infrastructure, the outcome of such a CFIUS investigation was almost a given. Whether CFIUS could have blocked the transaction itself is no longer an important point as it looks like both countries are now uniting against the deal, but it doesn’t end there.
Last night, Magnachip received a new offer, roughly 20% higher than the initial offer, from another group of Chinese and Hong Kong investors, despite the potential problems with the authorities, which was both a surprise to us, and a surprise to investors, given the 12%+ move the stock made this AM. How this offer is any different from the previous one from the standpoint of the government’s involvment, we don’t know, but that doesn’t seem to have made much of a difference to Cornucopia Partners (pvt), the entity that has made the most recent bid. There is a $105m termination fee to MX if the original deal is not completed, with certain reductions depending on the circumstances.