Visionox Returns
In typical fashion, Chinese trade press is spinning the transaction, which moves control of the company to a state-owned entity, as a positive event that brings together ‘the resources of Hefei and Kunshan…to further increase the production capacity and market share…leading to a win-win situation and the state-owned institutions.’ While that certainly could be the case, and Visionox is already building new capacity, our experience has been that state controlled display companies are more likely to be mismanaged, particularly as state officials have a relatively short tenure, and I many cases, a reversion to state ownership is an alternative strategy when company and market oriented funding is less than needed.
Visionox is in a good spot currently, as panel prices have been rising, but again the company is still dependent on local government subsidies for both expansion and operations, and we expect will continue to be as new capacity comes on line and begins depreciation. With competition increasing among small panel OLED vendors, we are not quite as sure that this transaction was one of strength, but we are certainly willing to give it a year to see if the new controlling shareholders can more the company further toward fiscal independence